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Kevin Roose News
Prediction markets for Kevin Roose
Prediction markets for Kevin Roose
Will the Apple Vision Pro be successful enough to revive interest in mixed reality and the metaverse?
Dec 22, 2:47 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
20.39%
chance
635
61360
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8780
2414
Will Google mostly catch up to OpenAI in LLM quality and neutralize ChatGPT's lead by the end of 2024?
Dec 22, 2:41 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
36.24%
chance
538
54612
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5358
2242
Will a lawless LLM chatbot get 10 million daily active users by the end of 2024?
Dec 22, 2:34 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
7.43%
chance
305
36505
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10552
938
Will Elon Musk get his own Hunter Biden laptop scandal in 2024?
Dec 22, 2:50 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
18.6%
chance
374
19627
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5006
2729
Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?
Dec 22, 2:45 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
14.54%
chance
392
39933
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4895
3020
Will Threads overtake X in daily active users by the end of 2024?
Dec 22, 2:27 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
6.45%
chance
375
84111
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8819
2512
Will every Hard Fork 2024 prediction resolve No?
Dec 26, 11:22 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.04%
chance
11
412
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1183
951
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