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Karl News
Prediction markets for Karl
Prediction markets for Karl
Will Billy Mitchell win his defamation lawsuit against Karl Jobst?
Jun 5, 8:54 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
21.76%
chance
12
1110
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1896
527
Will Karl Lauterbach (german secretary of health) be out of office before the next federal election?
Jan 5, 8:39 PM
Sep 29, 11:59 PM
13.47%
chance
27
8403
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1640
763
Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded before October 1st 2024?
Oct 19, 2:05 AM
Oct 2, 6:59 AM
13.02%
chance
13
729
Option
Votes
YES
NO
964
951
Have VERSES and Karl Friston achieved a "breakthrough in active inference" that beats GPT-4 on BIG-bench before 2025?
Dec 19, 9:06 PM
Dec 31, 10:02 PM
8.03%
chance
14
977
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1075
965
Karl Popper stock
Apr 9, 9:55 AM
Apr 10, 3:59 AM
15
1749
Option
Votes
YES
NO
298
215
Who will be on an episode of Conversations with Tyler in 2024?
Dec 5, 8:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30
13342
What books will I enjoy reading?
Apr 27, 1:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
172
34997
Who will be the next director of the All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) after Sean Kirkpatrick?
Nov 17, 6:37 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
3
69
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
242
250050
Which book similar to The three body problem and Children of Time will I like best.
Mar 27, 7:53 PM
Jul 8, 9:59 PM
15
636
Unsounded Chapter 18 - Casualty Pool
Jul 8, 4:51 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
1
470
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
280
345976
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