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John Stevens News
Prediction markets for John Stevens
Prediction markets for John Stevens
Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:36 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
48.74%
chance
16
2332
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1632
839
Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Apr 18, 7:05 AM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
34.55%
chance
18
981
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1007
942
Will Tassilo Think Singular Learning Theory Isn’t Useful for Alignment by the End of 2024?
Aug 15, 8:41 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
46.67%
chance
12
1036
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1008
988
Will tailcalled think that the Infrabayesianism alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:15 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
30.63%
chance
18
1787
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1118
919
Will tailcalled think that the Natural Abstractions alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 12:55 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
27%
chance
28
6189
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1543
647
Will tailcalled think that the Shard Theory alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:04 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
47.45%
chance
21
1644
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1192
757
How many of the original 100 answers in this market will become President of the United States?
Mar 30, 6:09 PM
Jan 2, 1:29 PM
22
1126
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6
5 months
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Authors
11
5 months
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Politics
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