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John Carmack News
Prediction markets for John Carmack
Prediction markets for John Carmack
Will Keen Technologies by John Carmack publish or release any sort of AI by the end of 2024?
Apr 2, 5:23 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
26.55%
chance
13
251
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1119
937
Will a model from Keen Technologies by John Carmack be in the top 10 on the LMSYS leaderboards by the end of 2024?
Apr 2, 5:09 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.5%
chance
17
543
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1294
886
Will John Carmacks target VR headset be released by any manufacturer by 2026?
Dec 30, 10:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
62.03%
chance
5
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
142
Has John Carmack lost more than 2 IQ points due to toxins from all the diet coke he has been drinking?
Oct 5, 4:51 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.06%
chance
4
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
143
119
Where will Andrej Karpathy work next after OpenAI, before 2025?
Feb 14, 1:43 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
89
7455
🤖 Which 5 AI advancements in 2024 will be the most important? [Free response]
Feb 17, 4:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
70
5100
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
Feb 13, 8:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
75.11%
chance
380
64418
Option
Votes
YES
NO
11176
8200
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
Apr 4, 8:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
63.5%
chance
94
11601
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2406
1959
Will anyone join in Marc Andreessen's & John Carmac's Mea Culpa over their lack of resistance to 'woke' mobs.
Apr 13, 3:58 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
20
522
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2 months
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2 months
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