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James Weeks News
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Justice Dept Seeks 55 Months for Raymond Cholod, 6 Years for David Gietzen, 2 Years for Devin McNulty; More Arrests Predicted
Authors
4
8 days
Washington DC
Crime
Politics
Prediction markets for James Weeks
Prediction markets for James Weeks
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
170108
Will GPT 4.5/GPT 5 have 30 more elo on the LMSYS leaderboard a two weeks after it is released.
Apr 2, 1:56 PM
Apr 10, 3:59 AM
76.86%
chance
18
332
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1147
931
Will Rep.-elect George Santos appear in court or in custody in Brazil (including through extradition) before the end of 2024?
Jan 3, 3:48 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
5.5%
chance
24
4067
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2202
813
Which manifold users will leave Manifold as a result of the "Big Pivot"
Apr 6, 2:15 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
4295
A month after the Israel-Hamas war stops will Israel still be firing rockets into Syria or Lebanon
Apr 12, 11:10 AM
Apr 20, 3:59 AM
58.33%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
160
123
Who will manifold choose to win in random 1V1 presidential election matchups
Apr 16, 3:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
14
530
Will Nic Carter successfully complete a muscle up in 2024.
Jan 1, 4:00 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
62%
chance
3
23
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
78
Resolves to the percentage of the vote the Democratic candidate receives in the 2024 general election
Dec 20, 3:11 PM
Nov 18, 4:59 AM
6
369
Will a successful sports betting bot be created within two weeks of real money prizes being implemented
Apr 23, 2:07 AM
Jul 31, 3:59 AM
31.4%
chance
6
164
Option
Votes
YES
NO
269
186
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