Jain News

Who will win the Women Boulder & Lead gold medal at the 2024 Olympics?

Dec 1, 5:35 AMAug 12, 3:59 PM

5246

Will a demon be summoned at ESPR or PAIR in 2024?

May 22, 4:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.89%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

1002

998

Will West Papua be independent by 2030?

May 30, 10:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

32.76%chance

6445

OptionVotes

YES

1433

698

Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?

Jan 14, 6:26 PMJul 13, 9:59 PM

77.14%chance

19432

OptionVotes

YES

1138

946

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

Aug 25, 8:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.04%chance

18486

OptionVotes

YES

1027

963

Will one of the next 10 popes be black?

Mar 7, 5:20 PMApr 1, 9:59 PM

51.65%chance

17354

OptionVotes

YES

1075

905

Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?

Jul 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.63%chance

10150

OptionVotes

YES

1019

973

Will I have donated a kidney by my 18.5th birthday?

Feb 17, 4:26 PMOct 10, 9:59 PM

18.35%chance

17823

OptionVotes

YES

1294

871

Will Tuvalu still be habitable by 2080?

May 6, 10:05 PMMay 9, 9:59 PM

56.78%chance

10178

OptionVotes

YES

1039

965

Will a (new) technocratic government emerge by 2050?

Jul 2, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.77%chance

21714

OptionVotes

YES

1040

916

Human whole brain emulation before 2100?

Jun 20, 7:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

37.5%chance

16778

OptionVotes

YES

1037

954

Will the Sentinelese language be described before 2035?

Jan 31, 10:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.03%chance

20331

OptionVotes

YES

1077

940

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Jain News

Prediction markets for Jain

Prediction markets for Jain

Prediction markets for Jain

Who will win the Women Boulder & Lead gold medal at the 2024 Olympics?

Will a demon be summoned at ESPR or PAIR in 2024?

Will West Papua be independent by 2030?

Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

Will one of the next 10 popes be black?

Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?

Will I have donated a kidney by my 18.5th birthday?

Will Tuvalu still be habitable by 2080?

Will a (new) technocratic government emerge by 2050?

Human whole brain emulation before 2100?

Will the Sentinelese language be described before 2035?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Jain

Prediction markets for Jain

Prediction markets for Jain

Who will win the Women Boulder & Lead gold medal at the 2024 Olympics?

Will a demon be summoned at ESPR or PAIR in 2024?

Will West Papua be independent by 2030?

Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

Will one of the next 10 popes be black?

Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?