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Prediction markets for Impa

What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024?

Mar 1, 7:31 PMJan 1, 7:40 AM

127349679

What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)

Apr 4, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8502

Who will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role?

Nov 8, 6:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

357812

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.14%chance

10423395

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10283

728

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?

Apr 25, 2:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.54%chance

12623000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

1465

Will Dan Hendrycks believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?

Jul 12, 6:08 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

48.25%chance

211255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1799

891

Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States?

Jan 29, 3:36 AMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

34.54%chance

1479512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1784

773

Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race?

Jul 28, 8:53 PMDec 5, 2:59 PM

9.35%chance

13011841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2387

1196

Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?

Dec 26, 10:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

65.91%chance

661980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1302

897

Will Matt Levine write about impact certificates or impact markets by the end of 2024?

Sep 7, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.46%chance

13823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

949

Will there be a big scandal about Taylor Swift's carbon impact by the end of 2024?

Jan 2, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

19567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1135

933

Will there be a huge economic crisis that will impact the global economy in 2024?

Feb 6, 3:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.54%chance

261334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

939

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