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Philadelphia Union's Gazdag, Donovan, and McGlynn Shine in 3-2 Victory Over Chicago Fire
Authors
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15 hours
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Sports
Prediction markets for Hugo
Prediction markets for Hugo
Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?
Feb 11, 2:54 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
60.57%
chance
10
76
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1022
983
Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
Jan 18, 12:29 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15.7%
chance
11
293
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1083
967
Will Sam Hughes (qntm) win a Hugo Award by end 2026
Oct 22, 3:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.36%
chance
5
32
Option
Votes
YES
NO
136
124
Which Novel will win a Hugo award in 2024
Feb 9, 9:36 PM
Oct 21, 6:59 AM
4
417
Will George R. R. Martin ever win the Hugo Award for Best Novel?
Oct 20, 11:22 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
35%
chance
10
248
Option
Votes
NO
YES
152
128
What best explains the irregularities in the ballots for the 2023 Hugo Award from Worldcon Chengdu?
Jan 23, 6:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12
552
All Upcoming UFC Fights Megamarket
Mar 31, 6:01 PM
Nov 11, 1:29 PM
27
45743
Who will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role?
Nov 8, 6:20 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
35
7812
San Mateo science fiction short story reading group predictions
Jan 10, 3:54 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3
171
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
242
250050
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2
Feb 28, 7:57 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
71
32940
Which elite global achievers will join manifold? Nobel prize, Nebula, Pope, EGOT, Pulitzer? 50+ Y/N options, research op
Dec 1, 5:39 PM
Jul 1, 4:59 AM
19
2655
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