Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Heyes News
Prediction markets for Heyes
Prediction markets for Heyes
2024 will be the year of advertising in market titles - hey cool dude, get in early, be an elite meta-user.
Dec 1, 12:24 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
19.99%
chance
8
141
Option
Votes
YES
NO
253
161
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
290728
What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 7, 5:06 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
45
3949
UK General Election: Which party will win Heywood and Middleton North?
Jan 8, 9:23 AM
Jul 4, 10:59 PM
5
130
Will I find an internship for 2025? (1.6K subsidy and growing)
May 13, 10:58 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
50.02%
chance
12
632
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1704
1527
Will AI come to Google Home devices before 2025?
Aug 17, 7:07 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.07%
chance
36
1980
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1534
477
ChatGPT said one needs 200h of training, will I complete a marathon sooner?
Apr 21, 9:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
72.33%
chance
12
275
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1175
867
are LLMs easy to align because unsupervised learning imbues them with an ontology where human values are easy to express
Aug 29, 2:34 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
31.6%
chance
12
556
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1122
899
Will direct arbitrage between manifold markets and the US stock market be possible by July 2024 (Subsidized 250M)
Jul 3, 7:30 AM
Jul 5, 5:59 AM
73.61%
chance
17
1520
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1461
610
How many times will I make an invalid market this year?
Feb 4, 8:17 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6
125
What LLM API will work unmodified until the end of 2025?
Mar 8, 2:33 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
115
The Four Jungian Archetypes Market
Oct 28, 8:35 AM
Nov 5, 5:59 AM
4
283
Articles
Latest stories
Leicester Tigers Face Tighthead Issues Ahead of Crucial Match with Harlequins, Elliot Millar-Mills and Adam Hastings Out of Scotland's Guinness Six Nations Squad
Authors
6
5 months
Rugby
Sports
Previous
Next
