Hayden News

What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?

Mar 17, 4:49 PMJan 1, 6:01 AM

75.84%chance

611808

OptionVotes

YES

7010

6011

Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?

Aug 15, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.7%chance

926803

OptionVotes

YES

2215

2030

Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?

Apr 24, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.85%chance

822718

OptionVotes

YES

1755

1527

Is there a major headline discovery that still remains hidden in the world's oceans?

Apr 7, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

87.71%chance

722917

OptionVotes

YES

2407

1205

C-3PO by 2030?

Apr 9, 11:12 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

40%chance

311522

OptionVotes

YES

1034

915

Will personally-produced data be considered personal property according to US law by 2040?

Apr 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.24%chance

773545

OptionVotes

YES

1198

821

Will Manifold add a "configurable market alert" feature before 2025?

Aug 21, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.86%chance

15917

OptionVotes

YES

1258

451

Will George R.R. Martin finish Winds of Winter by the end of 2024?

Oct 10, 12:30 PMJan 1, 4:00 AM

30.44%chance

5710085

OptionVotes

YES

1031

857

How many people worldwide will be living primarily underground in 2040?

Aug 1, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.52%chance

241604

OptionVotes

YES

1009

959

Will "avatarism" become a significantly notable movement by 2030?

Jun 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.57%chance

30836

OptionVotes

YES

1012

975

Will at least 1% of all A/C units worldwide be replaced with energyless cooling alternatives by 2040?

Jul 30, 10:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.85%chance

531617

OptionVotes

YES

1140

945

Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2025?

Apr 5, 7:14 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

16.89%chance

703517

OptionVotes

YES

1310

943

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Hayden News

Prediction markets for Hayden

Prediction markets for Hayden

Prediction markets for Hayden

What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?

Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?

Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?

Is there a major headline discovery that still remains hidden in the world's oceans?

C-3PO by 2030?

Will personally-produced data be considered personal property according to US law by 2040?

Will Manifold add a "configurable market alert" feature before 2025?

Will George R.R. Martin finish Winds of Winter by the end of 2024?

How many people worldwide will be living primarily underground in 2040?

Will "avatarism" become a significantly notable movement by 2030?

Will at least 1% of all A/C units worldwide be replaced with energyless cooling alternatives by 2040?

Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Hayden

Prediction markets for Hayden

Prediction markets for Hayden

What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?

Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?

Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?

Is there a major headline discovery that still remains hidden in the world's oceans?

C-3PO by 2030?

Will personally-produced data be considered personal property according to US law by 2040?

Will Manifold add a "configurable market alert" feature before 2025?