Harlan News

Are Harlan Crow and Clarence Thomas on the down low?

May 11, 7:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.38%chance

17887

OptionVotes

YES

999

988

Will a Senator ask Harlan Crow under oath if he has ever had a non-platonic relationship with Clarence Thomas?

Dec 2, 2:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.74%chance

7150

OptionVotes

YES

340

139

Who will top the 2024 NFL announcer rankings?

Jan 16, 5:20 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

211976

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Mar 6, 8:47 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

6.69%chance

13221418

OptionVotes

YES

7386

637

Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?

Mar 6, 8:03 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

62.78%chance

20920662

OptionVotes

YES

3084

1406

Will a record label release a song with an AI-generated voice of a dead billboard top 100 all time artist, b4 EOY 2024?

Jun 28, 10:31 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

54.96%chance

361889

OptionVotes

YES

2047

1140

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?

Nov 4, 7:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.28%chance

12611

OptionVotes

YES

1029

894

Will I have paid at least 1000 USD to Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?

Feb 7, 5:52 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

31.03%chance

15602

OptionVotes

YES

1025

977

Will the mind of a C. elegans roundworm be uploaded before 2033?

Feb 6, 10:03 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

73.04%chance

291078

OptionVotes

YES

1113

932

In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?

Mar 9, 7:59 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

35%chance

10338

OptionVotes

YES

999

995

Will less than 30% of US adults be obese by EOY 2030?

Oct 26, 4:07 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20.3%chance

12316

OptionVotes

YES

1114

954

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

Aug 30, 8:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.42%chance

12386

OptionVotes

YES

1308

934

Latest stories

NBA Star Jamal Murray's Half-Court Shot Sparks Interaction with Announcer Kevin Harlan, Praised by Fans
Authors
9
2 months
NBA
Sports
Timberwolves Honor Kevin Harlan During Game 4 for 35th Anniversary with TNT and Framed Jersey
Authors
5
2 months
NBA
Sports
Jennifer Lopez battles AI villain Simu Liu in Netflix's 'Atlas' trailer
Authors
10
2 months
AI
Tech
Culture
Kevin Harlan, 'American Treasure,' Elicits Laughs with Reaction to Chicken Wing Incident at NBA Game
Authors
12
3 months
NBA
Crime
Sports
Kevin Harlan Hilariously Calls Chicken Wing Incident in Pelicans' 135-123 Win Over Kings
Authors
16
3 months
NBA
Crime
Sports
Utah AD Mark Harlan Declines Job at Arizona After Dave Heeke's Firing, Discusses CFP and Big 12 Transition
Authors
4
5 months
NCAA
Sports
Dolphins-Ravens Confirmed as Primary 1 PM ET Game on CBS, Dec 31
Authors
9
6 months
NFL
Sports
Kevin Harlan Marks 500th NFL Telecast at Bengals/Texans Game on Sunday
Authors
4
8 months
Sports

Harlan News

Prediction markets for Harlan

Prediction markets for Harlan

Prediction markets for Harlan

Are Harlan Crow and Clarence Thomas on the down low?

Will a Senator ask Harlan Crow under oath if he has ever had a non-platonic relationship with Clarence Thomas?

Who will top the 2024 NFL announcer rankings?

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?

Will a record label release a song with an AI-generated voice of a dead billboard top 100 all time artist, b4 EOY 2024?

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?

Will I have paid at least 1000 USD to Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?

Will the mind of a C. elegans roundworm be uploaded before 2033?

In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?

Will less than 30% of US adults be obese by EOY 2030?

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Harlan

Prediction markets for Harlan

Prediction markets for Harlan

Are Harlan Crow and Clarence Thomas on the down low?

Will a Senator ask Harlan Crow under oath if he has ever had a non-platonic relationship with Clarence Thomas?

Who will top the 2024 NFL announcer rankings?

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?

Will a record label release a song with an AI-generated voice of a dead billboard top 100 all time artist, b4 EOY 2024?

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?