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Top stories

Man Arrested After Fatal Hit-and-Run Killing Rhyce Harding in Sydney's West
Authors
7
12 days
Australia
World

Prediction markets for Harding

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

38913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

978

US municipality or state taxes sugary drinks as much or more than hard liquor before 2034.

May 21, 1:35 PMMay 28, 3:59 PM

15.49%chance

61705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2336

428

OpenAI images have a useful and hard to remove watermark, by end 2024

Oct 6, 9:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

36.09%chance

202768

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

850

Will Quentin Tarantino's last (10th) movie have at least 10 "hard R"s dropped by a single character?

Mar 15, 5:08 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

31.4%chance

19844

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

985

Will SOTA on MATH in Sep 2024 utilize a hard-coded search/amplification procedure?

Sep 28, 3:29 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM

55.2%chance

171103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1121

881

Will 5 users post credible evidence of not being stationary while working before 2025? [hard mode]

Feb 6, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.15%chance

131227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

991

Will Bitcoin undergo a hard fork before 2027?

Mar 13, 9:40 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.79%chance

10694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

931

Will Shania Twain go on the Hard Fork podcast in 2024?

Dec 23, 3:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.36%chance

682622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1707

768

Will the Hard Fork podcast have an emergency AI episode by the end of 2024?

Apr 21, 10:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

53.56%chance

23390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

893

Will AGI undergo a hard take-off?

Aug 4, 12:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.16%chance

141142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

926

Will every Hard Fork 2024 prediction resolve No?

Dec 26, 11:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.04%chance

11412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

951

Will Jose Luis Ricon make a girl ROFL (literally) so hard she'll almost die in 2024?

Jan 4, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.63%chance

437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

96

84

Articles

Latest stories

Man Arrested After Fatal Hit-and-Run Killing Rhyce Harding in Sydney's West
Authors
7
12 days
Australia
World
U.S.-China Tensions Escalate Over Dependency and Climate Policy
Authors
5
2 months
China
World
Politics
Hornets to Interview 2023-24 G League Coach of the Year Lindsey Harding
Authors
13
3 months
NBA
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Women Claim Being 'Too Big' Led to Angel Harding's Removal on Air New Zealand Flight from Napier to Auckland
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5
4 months
Culture
Ohio State under Jake Diebler defeats Iowa 90-78 in Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals
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10
4 months
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Death in Swansea Marina Ruled Accidental, Likely Due to Medical Episode
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4
4 months
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IowaHoops' Brock Harding's Remarkable No-Look Pass Contributes to 103-81 Victory Against UMBC
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7
7 months
NCAA
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