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Greta Thunberg News
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Swedish activist Greta Thunberg detained by police in Helsinki after Extinction Rebellion protest
Authors
7
8 days
Europe
Crime
Climate
Prediction markets for Greta Thunberg
Prediction markets for Greta Thunberg
Will Greta Thunberg run for or be appointed to any political role before the end of 2030?
Sep 6, 1:26 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
34.15%
chance
30
869
Option
Votes
NO
YES
998
990
Will Greta Thunberg run for public office before the end of 2035?
Jan 15, 7:06 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.92%
chance
15
207
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1024
975
Will Greta Thunberg be sentenced to prison before 2030
Mar 13, 3:58 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
15.21%
chance
12
383
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1255
912
Will Greta Thunberg receive the Nobel peace prize before she dies?
Oct 30, 5:33 PM
Nov 7, 4:59 AM
11.97%
chance
13
565
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1349
910
Which of these famous people will reach lifetime two or more offspring by mid 2035?
Jan 4, 7:18 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
65
10514
Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]
Dec 15, 7:51 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
29
9835
What will Trump criticize during the presidential campaign? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 9, 8:34 PM
Nov 4, 10:59 PM
41
2448
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
242
250050
Who will be the first public figure to confidently claim that artificial intelligences are people? (add your own)
May 14, 2:57 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
49
1930
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