Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Greer News
Top stories
Florida Panthers Sign Tomas Nosek and A.J. Greer to One-Year, Two-Year Contracts
Authors
11
18 hours
Hockey
Sports
Prediction markets for Greer
Prediction markets for Greer
Computer Science/AI Academics among Manifold users (permanent)
May 2, 1:59 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
2
20
Will a program or person exist that finds/draws arbitrary 5 letter words by zooming into the mandelbrot set by Jan 2025?
Sep 30, 4:40 PM
Jan 21, 4:59 AM
20.63%
chance
18
843
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1207
927
Will the Whole US Boeing 737 Max fleet be grounded by the FAA in 2024?
Jan 6, 7:10 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9.85%
chance
26
3257
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1889
774
Does the asteroid polyhymnia contain elements missing from the periodic table?
Oct 25, 2:12 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
11.53%
chance
14
676
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1011
598
Will we get another high quality data point on Ball Lightning by 2030?
Oct 4, 6:15 PM
Oct 8, 3:59 AM
68.41%
chance
3
39
Option
Votes
NO
YES
147
86
Will Trump be diagnozed with Alzheimers disease by 2028?
Jan 22, 4:58 PM
Jan 30, 4:59 AM
27%
chance
5
117
Option
Votes
YES
NO
173
134
Will any version of coyote vs acme leak or release?
Nov 11, 10:11 AM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
87.11%
chance
2
80
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
39
Will AIs who aren't trained on or exposed to humans argue about qualia by 2050?
Sep 13, 9:17 PM
Sep 21, 3:59 AM
30.62%
chance
4
48
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
84
Will we find tree search in a vanilla transformer trained on chess games by 2026?
Jan 7, 1:04 AM
Jan 7, 4:59 AM
21.61%
chance
7
124
Option
Votes
YES
NO
352
254
Will the World Championship Punkin Chunkin return to Delaware by 2030?
Nov 18, 2:23 AM
Nov 25, 4:59 AM
30.77%
chance
1
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
75
33
Will @HastingsGreer coauthor an ICML or NeurIPS paper in 2024?
Oct 6, 1:55 AM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
110
Qualia: GPTs vs characters in dreams. Resolves when there is consensus on how to test for qualia (likely never haha)
Feb 28, 11:23 AM
Mar 4, 4:59 AM
2
11
Articles
Latest stories
Florida Panthers Sign Tomas Nosek and A.J. Greer to One-Year, Two-Year Contracts
Authors
11
18 hours
Hockey
Sports
Cambridge School Committee Issues 90-Day Notice to Superintendent Victoria Greer Amid Public Criticism
Authors
5
1 month
Boston
Politics
Temple Strengthens Backcourt with Transfers Including Legacy Player Lynn Greer III
Authors
4
2 months
NCAA
Sports
Maple Leafs Beat Flames 5-4 in Shootout After Intense Game, Zary, Nylander, Greer, Tavares, Zadorov, Woll Shine
Authors
7
8 months
Hockey
Sports
Previous
Next
