Good News

House Freedom Caucus Considers Expelling Warren Davidson Over Bob Good Support Amid Group Split and Leadership Dissatisfaction
Authors
5
3 days
Politics
Rep. Bob Good to Pursue Recount in GOP Primary Election after state certifies election on July 2
Authors
7
9 days
Politics

If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results?

Jan 2, 8:47 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

69.11%chance

101311

OptionVotes

YES

10339

9022

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.04%chance

12726724

OptionVotes

YES

1901

992

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.42%chance

162892

OptionVotes

YES

7416

3786

Are the pronatalist couple good parents?

Jun 12, 8:06 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

47.63%chance

262392

OptionVotes

YES

1049

954

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

YES

2729

2049

If a machine is only capable of asking T/F questions is it considered an ASI if it does a good enough job at it?

Jun 4, 5:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.78%chance

141602

OptionVotes

YES

2272

440

Will there exist an AI music generator at least as good as DALL-E 3 by the end of 2024?

Jan 26, 6:42 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.61%chance

16366505

OptionVotes

YES

1765

1148

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Dec 13, 1:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

47.84%chance

341541

OptionVotes

YES

1698

1639

In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

Feb 3, 4:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

1029332

OptionVotes

YES

1730

1390

Will the Unsong musical be good?

Feb 23, 8:37 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

59.19%chance

189697

OptionVotes

YES

1032

941

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Nov 30, 10:02 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

17.41%chance

518584

OptionVotes

YES

3705

3281

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?

Nov 15, 12:13 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.84%chance

17014273

OptionVotes

YES

2853

979

Latest stories

House Freedom Caucus Considers Expelling Warren Davidson Over Bob Good Support Amid Group Split and Leadership Dissatisfaction
Authors
5
3 days
Politics
Rep. Bob Good to Pursue Recount in GOP Primary Election after state certifies election on July 2
Authors
7
9 days
Politics
Tyler Perry's 'Divorce in the Black' Trailer Released, Meagan Good & Cory Hardrict Star
Authors
5
17 days
Culture
Trump Campaign Issues Cease-and-Desist Letter to Rep. Bob Good (Virginia) Over False Endorsement by John McGuire
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7
29 days
Politics
Trump Campaign Sends Cease-and-Desist to Virginia Rep. Bob Good Ahead of Primary
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9
29 days
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Miriam Adelson to Contribute $100M to Trump Super PAC; Vance and Rubio Vow Retaliation After Conviction
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14
30 days
Israel
World
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Trump Endorses McGuire Over Rep. Bob Good in Virginia Primary on May 28
Authors
11
1 month
Politics
Trump Endorses John McGuire Against House Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good in June 18 Virginia Primary
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28
1 month
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Rep. Bob Good Faces Tight Primary Against John McGuire in Virginia's 5th District Ahead of June Primary
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7
2 months
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Jonathan Majors & Meagan Good's PDA Beach Day in Malibu with Abs, Post Conviction Photos
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4
2 months
Crime
Culture
GOP Introduces 'No Propaganda Act' and 'Defund NPR Act' Citing Partisanship
Authors
6
2 months
Politics
RJC Endorses Rep. Bob Good's Primary Opponent John McGuire Over Israel Aid Vote
Authors
6
2 months
Israel
World
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RepMTG Proposes Motion to Vacate Speaker Johnson's Position
Authors
4
2 months
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58 Lawmakers Oppose $26.4B Aid to Israel, 21 Republicans Vote Against Bill
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5
2 months
Israel
World
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Mother Ash Good Fatally Stabbed While Shielding Baby Harriet from Attacker in Bondi Junction Attack
Authors
16
3 months
Australia
World
House Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good seeks help from Speaker Mike Johnson amid GOP internal divisions, Mike Rogers supports John McGuire, raising concerns about House control and slim majority
Authors
9
3 months
Politics
Trump-Backed Rogers and Freedom Caucus Chair Good Stir GOP Tensions with Endorsements
Authors
6
3 months
Politics
GOP Rep. Bob Good Faces Primary Challenge from Van Orden Amid Intense Intra-Party Feud in Contentious Race
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6
3 months
Politics
House Republicans Rosendale, Miller, Brecheen, Good Oppose Biden's IVF Policy for Veterans Amid Democratic Fight Against GOP Attacks on Reproductive Rights and Abortion Bans
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13
3 months
Politics
Rep. Bob Good Launches 'Freedom Fighters Tour' Against Primary Challenger John McGuire with House Conservatives
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6
3 months
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21 House Republican Incumbents Face Primary Challenges, Good Counters McGuire's Campaign
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6
3 months
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41 Republicans Oppose Bill Over Immigration, Risking Shutdown by Friday
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8
3 months
Politics
Lawmakers Propose Renaming Lynchburg VA After Desmond Doss to Honor War Heroes
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5
4 months
Politics
House Republicans, Including Rep. Good, Urge Biden to Abandon Costly Electric Vehicle Mandates Benefiting China
Authors
9
4 months
China
World
Politics
Rep. Bob Good Ejected from Trump Store in Farmville, Virginia Amid Harassment by Pro-Trump Supporters
Authors
4
4 months
Politics
Rep. Bob Good Endorses Trump After DeSantis Exits Presidential Race
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
Speaker Johnson Criticized Within GOP for Spending Deal, Israel Aid Amid Party Discontent
Authors
4
5 months
Israel
World
Politics
Virginia's 5th District GOP Primary Heats Up: Trump Camp Targets Good for DeSantis Endorsement
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
Rep. Bob Good (R-Va.) Elected as House Freedom Caucus Chairman Amid Internal Drama, Endorsing Ron DeSantis
Authors
11
7 months
Politics
Controversies Over Paige Spiranac, Meagan Good, Adriana Lima, and Aubrey O'Day's Bikini Photos and Plastic Surgery Rumors
Authors
7
8 months
Culture

Good News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Good

Prediction markets for Good

Prediction markets for Good

If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Are the pronatalist couple good parents?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

If a machine is only capable of asking T/F questions is it considered an ASI if it does a good enough job at it?

Will there exist an AI music generator at least as good as DALL-E 3 by the end of 2024?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

Will the Unsong musical be good?

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Good

Prediction markets for Good

Prediction markets for Good

If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Are the pronatalist couple good parents?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

If a machine is only capable of asking T/F questions is it considered an ASI if it does a good enough job at it?

Will there exist an AI music generator at least as good as DALL-E 3 by the end of 2024?