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Prediction markets for Gaye

Will Taylor Swift publicly come out as gay, bisexual, or queer before the end of 2030?

Jan 31, 2:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.43%chance

703812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2716

1111

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

24.42%chance

234417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

968

Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?

Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

79.48%chance

353900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

899

Will Singapore recognise gay marriage by 2030?

Dec 27, 7:33 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.01%chance

516362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1440

949

Will Claudine Gay be replaced by a white male?

Jan 5, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.37%chance

542292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

881

Will a public gay pride legally take place in the UAE by 2040?

Jun 24, 5:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

35.55%chance

151109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

743

[Metaculus] Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?

Nov 9, 12:20 AMJan 2, 5:00 AM

24.34%chance

16511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

958

Will an AI-powered tool produce a convincing gay pornography video of Elon Musk having sex with Peter Thiel by 2025?

Jan 1, 7:43 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

24.88%chance

11374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

915

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

Jun 25, 2:31 AMJan 21, 6:59 AM

17.24%chance

162442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2191

456

Will any country in Africa other than South Africa fully legalize gay marriage by the end of 2030?

Apr 7, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.49%chance

11132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

956

Will an AI-powered tool produce a convincing video of a gay orgy (#LemonParty) of the entire Paypal Mafia by 2026?

Jan 1, 7:45 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

35.02%chance

11337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

946

Will the Church of England take an affirming stance on gay marriage by 2030?

Apr 4, 12:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

56.97%chance

11102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

986

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