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Prediction markets for Gavriel

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?

Sep 26, 4:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72%chance

18362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

952

If a human challenge trial for a hepatitis C vaccine is completed by the end of 2024, will a hep C vaccine be approved by the end of 2027?

Sep 22, 7:51 PMDec 30, 4:59 AM

52.66%chance

11112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

997

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

Oct 4, 5:17 PMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.85%chance

211045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

907

Will Vaxart’s oral COVID vaccine candidate show at least 75% efficacy in a human challenge trial?

Aug 16, 9:30 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

55.12%chance

1080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

991

Will California bill SB-1308, regulating the ozone emission of air cleaners, become law?

Mar 22, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.11%chance

121352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

988

Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?

Dec 15, 7:32 PMDec 31, 7:00 AM

55.68%chance

25654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

900

Will my dating doc be instrumental in my finding someone to date seriously?

Jan 18, 11:39 PMDec 19, 12:39 AM

9.42%chance

232685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3062

287

Will the 1Day Sooner Safe Air Research Alliance have at least 1 tech installation/study in progress by the end of 2024?

Nov 22, 12:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69%chance

461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

75

Will the 1Day Sooner Safe Air Research Alliance be active in 2025?

Nov 11, 3:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.23%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

53

Will Nate Silver's new book make a detailed reference to Manifold?

Feb 16, 2:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

94.94%chance

141629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

881

If a human challenge trial for a hepatitis C vaccine is NOT completed by the end of 2024, will a hep C vaccine be approved by the end of 2027?

Sep 22, 7:52 PMDec 30, 4:59 AM

46.07%chance

434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

133

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Two Israeli Soldiers Killed, Another Injured in Gaza Strip Battles Yesterday
Authors
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1 month
Israel
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