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Meta Must Face Billionaire Andrew Forrest's Lawsuit Over Scam Facebook Cryptocurrency Ads
Authors
6
14 days
Economics
AI
Crime
Prediction markets for Forrest
Prediction markets for Forrest
[Add options] What will be voted the funniest out-of-context Manifold comment at the end of 2024?
Apr 3, 3:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11
1011
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, what will the ranking order of films be?
Mar 3, 6:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
874
Who will be the highest rated player in NJ Super Smash Bros Melee power rankings for the end of 2024?
Jan 4, 7:59 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
10
1988
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, which films from last time will make it again?
Mar 4, 4:49 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
27
6586
Who will be elected vice-president in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Aug 9, 2:15 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
181
124586
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
Jul 23, 1:21 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.42%
chance
127
25778
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1557
944
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
Oct 29, 12:44 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
96.14%
chance
104
23395
Option
Votes
NO
YES
10283
728
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
Apr 25, 2:15 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
31.54%
chance
126
23000
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1685
1465
Will I be around to resolve this market in December 2027?
Nov 16, 6:19 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
72.78%
chance
26
1932
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1728
369
Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
Jun 26, 6:46 AM
Jan 3, 7:59 AM
47.31%
chance
4
165
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1055
948
Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)
Oct 14, 1:11 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
48.63%
chance
14
226
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1020
978
Will abortion be restricted in Argentina in 2024?
Nov 20, 1:45 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.93%
chance
16
656
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1277
865
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10
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4
4 months
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