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Eva News
Prediction markets for Eva
Prediction markets for Eva
Will "AI companies aren't really using external eva..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 24, 8:26 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
17.37%
chance
2
100
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1036
803
When will the Polaris Program launch "Polaris Dawn", the first EVA with SpaceX's Dragon Capsule? Everyday Astronaut 2024
Jan 2, 12:11 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5
990
Candice Horbacz (Eva Lovia) (Permanent)
Feb 22, 3:54 AM
Aug 11, 9:43 PM
4
46
Option
Votes
NO
YES
96
85
Who will be the next president of France?
Feb 6, 11:00 PM
May 31, 9:59 PM
85
13813
Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
Oct 10, 4:41 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
268
122033
Will King Charles, Jimmy Carter, Elon Musk, Joe Biden and these other folks be dead by the end of 2024? (ADD RESPONSES)
Dec 29, 8:47 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
52
8535
Who will speak at the Democratic National Convention? [Add Answers]
Apr 18, 6:04 PM
Aug 23, 4:59 AM
34
1999
By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?
Jun 29, 4:35 AM
Jan 3, 7:59 AM
18
3743
Will The Palestianians who evacuated to southern Gaza be allowed to return by the end of 2025? (M 500 Subsidies)
Nov 10, 4:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
66.09%
chance
35
2368
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1818
1431
Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?
Apr 5, 12:11 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
31.6%
chance
45
2518
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1171
863
🐕 Will A.I. Get Significantly Better at Evaluating Scientific Claims by the end of 2024? (As Measured By Leaderboard)
Mar 29, 4:23 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
31.09%
chance
86
5746
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2141
643
Will the US government require AI labs to run safety/alignment evals by 2025?
Mar 21, 11:49 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
36.56%
chance
46
2184
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1083
790
Articles
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Apple TV+ to Premiere 'WondLa' Trailer Featuring Telepathic Teen Eva on June 28 and 'Land of Women' Starring Eva Longoria
Authors
4
28 days
Culture
TikTok Star Eva Evans, Creator of 'Club Rat' Series, Dies by Suicide at 29
Authors
18
2 months
Culture
Tetra Pak heir Hans Rausing's second wife, Julia, dies of cancer at 63, sparking tributes and reflecting on their love story
Authors
4
2 months
Culture
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