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Emanuel News
Prediction markets for Emanuel
Prediction markets for Emanuel
Which riders will be announced for Team Bora-Hansgrohe for the 2025 season?
Jan 5, 6:33 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
3
1567
Who will speak at the Democratic National Convention? [Add Answers]
Apr 18, 6:04 PM
Aug 23, 4:59 AM
34
1999
Relationship of @AntoniaB & @EmanuelRylke
Dec 28, 4:45 PM
Sep 23, 4:45 PM
0
1290
Will lab grown human kidneys be created before 2040?
Jan 28, 12:06 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
55%
chance
13
204
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
998
Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used to win a prize in a Kaggle competition before 2025?
May 3, 2:42 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
14.27%
chance
21
953
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1610
841
Will nemotron-4-340b rank higher than GPT-4-0125-preview on LMSYS leaderboard at any point before 07/15/2024?
Jun 15, 10:45 PM
Jul 16, 2:59 AM
6.04%
chance
9
728
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1635
900
Which Blade will be published first?
Dec 8, 3:38 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6
597
Will Argentina relax foreign exchange controls before 2025?
Dec 12, 3:09 AM
Jan 2, 2:59 AM
50%
chance
9
205
Option
Votes
YES
NO
152
96
Will a shadow biosphere be discovered on Earth before 2050
Jan 3, 2:53 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
13%
chance
5
154
Option
Votes
YES
NO
251
88
How many parameters does GPT4o have?
Jun 2, 7:17 AM
Jan 2, 2:59 AM
5
488
Will the paper "Subtle adversarial image manipulations influence both human and machine perceptions" replicate in 2024?
Feb 1, 7:57 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
55.56%
chance
5
63
Option
Votes
YES
NO
152
146
Will a pure nuclear fusion bomb be developed before 2100?
Dec 20, 4:12 AM
Jan 2, 2:59 AM
36.77%
chance
5
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
127
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4
3 months
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9 months
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5
9 months
Culture
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