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Einstein News
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Albert Einstein's letters, including nuclear warning to FDR, to be auctioned for £5m to $4m
Authors
8
9 days
Education
Science
Culture
Prediction markets for Einstein
Prediction markets for Einstein
Will future language models converge on "what Einstein would have thought of Many-Worlds?" before 2036?
Dec 28, 9:37 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
46.06%
chance
17
535
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1052
943
Where will the Einstein Telescope be built?
Apr 14, 12:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
207
Where will the next generation EU gravitational wave telescope (Einstein telescope) be built?
Sep 21, 4:17 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
96
3244
What opinion will future language models converge to, on what Einstein would have thought of Many-Worlds?
Dec 26, 8:59 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
5
215
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
280
347013
Is faster-than-light travel physically possible?
Mar 4, 2:16 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
14.59%
chance
80
5501
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1010
869
Cloned historical figure born before 2036
Jun 1, 12:26 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
21.73%
chance
15
405
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1214
923
Will the first clone of a genius demonstrate similar intelligence?
Mar 8, 11:08 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
60.79%
chance
22
461
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1086
924
Will another aperiodic monotile be discovered?
Apr 1, 7:49 PM
Jan 1, 7:00 AM
86%
chance
8
850
Option
Votes
NO
YES
330
126
Does the MEGA Drive work?
Jun 10, 12:44 AM
May 15, 11:59 AM
45.39%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
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