Edu News

By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?

Jan 2, 9:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

14338466

OptionVotes

YES

1928

988

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

YES

4193

4124

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Aug 7, 9:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18%chance

15330669

OptionVotes

YES

1385

1047

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Jan 3, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

433878

OptionVotes

YES

1160

731

Will higher education be a frequent talking point in the US presidential debates?

Mar 20, 5:10 PMNov 10, 4:59 AM

39.43%chance

201178

OptionVotes

YES

1447

446

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

28.06%chance

11198

OptionVotes

YES

1041

973

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

30.8%chance

8545

OptionVotes

YES

1499

667

Will the Biden administration’s plan to use the Higher Education Act result in student debt relief before 2025?

Jun 30, 8:49 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

32.49%chance

221024

OptionVotes

YES

993

979

There will be no restrictions on Chinese citizens ability to access education or healthcare in any city with more than 10 million people based on rural Hukou by the end of 2025

Sep 8, 12:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.88%chance

14518

OptionVotes

YES

1068

958

Will there be education depolarization in the 2024 election?

Mar 3, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.65%chance

14354

OptionVotes

YES

1032

975

Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?

Apr 8, 9:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

73.96%chance

15360

OptionVotes

YES

1265

879

Will the cost of higher education in the US maintain an average growth rate above 3% until 2040?

Apr 16, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.8%chance

12190

OptionVotes

YES

1015

988

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Edu News

Prediction markets for Edu

Prediction markets for Edu

Prediction markets for Edu

By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Will higher education be a frequent talking point in the US presidential debates?

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Will the Biden administration’s plan to use the Higher Education Act result in student debt relief before 2025?

There will be no restrictions on Chinese citizens ability to access education or healthcare in any city with more than 10 million people based on rural Hukou by the end of 2025

Will there be education depolarization in the 2024 election?

Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?

Will the cost of higher education in the US maintain an average growth rate above 3% until 2040?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Edu

Prediction markets for Edu

Prediction markets for Edu

By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Will higher education be a frequent talking point in the US presidential debates?

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?