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Prediction markets for Deutsch
Prediction markets for Deutsch
Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?
Mar 25, 12:30 PM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
20.07%
chance
15
633
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1267
886
Will David Deutsch write a Textbook on Quantum Physics before he dies?
Aug 28, 9:02 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
76.45%
chance
5
83
Option
Votes
NO
YES
183
69
Will Lex Fridman do a podcast interview with David Deutsch in 2024?
Jul 14, 10:12 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
41.98%
chance
7
77
Option
Votes
YES
NO
168
135
Is the Church–Turing–Deutsch principle true? Is all fundamental physics computable?
Dec 6, 2:58 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
91%
chance
6
198
Option
Votes
NO
YES
303
87
Who will win the 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics?
Apr 22, 3:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
10
333
Who will be guests on the Lex Fridman podcast in 2024?
Dec 24, 9:34 PM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
58
36726
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Oct 10, 5:21 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
10
523
Will the Germany-wide public transport ticket ("Deutschlandticket") cost 49 Euro or less per month in December 2024?
Mar 6, 9:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
95.57%
chance
37
10504
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2210
545
Will AfD (Alternative für Deutschland) become the leader of polls in Germany in 2024?
Jan 25, 8:51 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
5.9%
chance
17
1241
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1160
943
Will the Germany-wide subsidized public transit ticket ("Deutschlandticket") still be offered after its first two years?
Oct 14, 7:34 AM
May 1, 9:59 PM
80%
chance
6
147
Option
Votes
NO
YES
215
120
Will German trains be on time again by 2030?
May 23, 2:10 PM
Jul 1, 9:59 PM
39.13%
chance
13
1721
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1247
802
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
Nov 25, 11:48 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6.9%
chance
12
415
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1222
955
Articles
Latest stories
MSNBC Analyst Donny Deutsch Criticizes Trump's Comments on Jewish Voters' Loyalty
Authors
5
3 months
Israel
World
Culture
Deutsch: Dems Must "Scare the Sh*t Out of People" to Beat Trump in 2024
Authors
6
4 months
Politics
UK Universities: Rabbi Deutsch Targeted with Hundreds of Death Threats Amid Antisemitic Incidents
Authors
15
5 months
Israel
Britain
World
David Deutsch Criticizes 'P(Doom)' Concept in AGI Discussion, Supported by Steven Pinker
Authors
6
6 months
AI
Tech
Culture
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