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Prediction markets for Des

Which board game will win "Spiel des Jahres" 2024?

Feb 29, 7:42 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

225

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) have left the Parc des Princes before December 31, 2024?

Feb 8, 6:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.14%chance

5195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

282

67

Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?

Jun 2, 2:18 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

75.68%chance

127801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17463

5859

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.51%chance

46787952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7155

5012

Destiny Stock

Oct 26, 8:52 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

804312949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5389

2179

Will any AI be legally recognized by any country's government as being a "person" deserving of some rights before 2029?

Mar 15, 12:02 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.99%chance

452865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

982

Will Destiny appear on the Joe Rogan Podcast by the end of 2024

Dec 21, 10:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

25%chance

9023330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1349

820

Will Destiny go on Joe Rogan's podcast in 2024?

Nov 7, 1:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.77%chance

9727971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

666

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.56%chance

16870748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2080

1864

If Donald Trump is not the GOP presidential nominee, will it be DeSantis?

Jul 20, 4:05 PMOct 2, 3:59 AM

16.38%chance

23363952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5501

871

Will Ron DeSantis revert back to his previous height by EOY 2024?

Jan 22, 10:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.34%chance

35699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2326

1552

Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)

Mar 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.13%chance

7135484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4318

886

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