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David Pressman News
Prediction markets for David Pressman
Prediction markets for David Pressman
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.38%
chance
68
23983
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26232
3281
Will any AI model be capable of involuntarily hypnotizing human beings by EoY 2025?
Jun 7, 2:15 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7.35%
chance
62
9320
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3550
282
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8.52%
chance
21
6782
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3277
305
Will at least 3 Manifold bots advertise their performance on manifold-baseline-curated before the end of 2024?
Jun 12, 10:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
52.46%
chance
2
150
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1051
952
Will 'jailbreaks' in large language models be solved in principle by the end of 2024?
Jun 8, 2:58 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
10.14%
chance
83
11473
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2976
336
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U.S. Senators in Budapest on Feb. 18 to Urge Orbán to Lift Sweden's NATO Block
Authors
4
5 months
Politics
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