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David May News
Prediction markets for David May
Prediction markets for David May
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.38%
chance
68
23983
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26232
3281
Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st October 2024? [10,000 Mana subsidy]
Apr 17, 2:17 PM
Sep 30, 10:59 PM
96.97%
chance
230
92715
Option
Votes
NO
YES
49989
7899
Will prop betting still be a prominent use case on Manifold on September 1st, 2024?
Mar 13, 2:08 PM
Sep 1, 3:59 AM
80.15%
chance
12
230
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1126
943
Will CNN's online news abandon its left-leaning bias by 2025 according to AllSides Media Bias ratings?
Nov 15, 5:58 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
22.75%
chance
38
12561
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1590
742
Are UFOs a coverup for unprecedented fraud?
Aug 18, 11:53 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8.85%
chance
27
933
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1459
910
Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st January 2025?
Apr 17, 2:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
98%
chance
59
13525
Option
Votes
NO
YES
7565
549
$DMAYE 🏈
Dec 29, 2:44 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11.03%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
280
157
Will passkeys have meaningful user adoption in 2024, moving towards a passwordsless future?
Dec 29, 2:39 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19
698
🏈 Chicago Bears (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲
Apr 15, 3:55 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11
769
🏈 Arizona Cardinals (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲
Apr 15, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5
153
🇺🇸🏛️ What will happen in Washington, DC in 2024? [ADD ANSWERS]
Feb 18, 3:15 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10
253
🏈 Las Vegas Raiders (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲
Apr 15, 4:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
155
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South Africa Accused of Genocide, Criticized as Hamas Supporter Amid Iran Proxy Claims
Authors
4
4 months
Israel
Crime
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