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Daron Acemoglu News
Prediction markets for Daron Acemoglu
Prediction markets for Daron Acemoglu
Will Daron Acemoglu win a Nobel Prize by 2028?
May 25, 2:56 AM
Dec 1, 11:59 PM
33.58%
chance
17
927
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
958
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Oct 10, 5:21 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
10
523
Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?
Jan 20, 6:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
15.67%
chance
15
764
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1342
874
Will we see improvements in the TruthfulQA LLM benchmark in 2024?
Mar 30, 4:39 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
74.08%
chance
3
71
Option
Votes
NO
YES
211
98
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