Che News

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

51.17%chance

1034402069

OptionVotes

YES

4443

4235

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.52%chance

6385

OptionVotes

YES

10116

9880

Chess with queen odds solved by 2040?

Jan 25, 2:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.8%chance

12570

OptionVotes

YES

1414

862

Will chess be solved by 2040?

Sep 29, 2:39 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

17.97%chance

1461447000

OptionVotes

YES

2271

1617

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.04%chance

12726724

OptionVotes

YES

1901

992

Will chess be solved by 2100?

Nov 18, 10:58 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

27.48%chance

476707

OptionVotes

YES

1362

790

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.59%chance

124930

OptionVotes

YES

5204

3441

Which current Saturday Night Live (SNL) cast members will leave the show before the premiere of the next season?

Apr 10, 11:56 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

10548

Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?

Apr 8, 6:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

53.53%chance

534887

OptionVotes

YES

1133

832

Who will win the World Chess Championship 2024?

Apr 22, 12:31 AMDec 16, 10:59 PM

574287

Will any city >50k have energy "too cheap to meter" by 2035?

Aug 2, 2:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.24%chance

121930

OptionVotes

YES

1129

955

Who will win the 2024 Chess World Championship?

Dec 28, 6:50 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

9818875

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Che News

Prediction markets for Che

Prediction markets for Che

Prediction markets for Che

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Chess with queen odds solved by 2040?

Will chess be solved by 2040?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will chess be solved by 2100?

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Which current Saturday Night Live (SNL) cast members will leave the show before the premiere of the next season?

Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?

Who will win the World Chess Championship 2024?

Will any city >50k have energy "too cheap to meter" by 2035?

Who will win the 2024 Chess World Championship?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Che

Prediction markets for Che

Prediction markets for Che

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Chess with queen odds solved by 2040?

Will chess be solved by 2040?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will chess be solved by 2100?

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?