Care News

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.29%chance

111709

OptionVotes

YES

4632

4000

Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?

May 10, 11:42 PMMay 18, 4:59 AM

15.51%chance

14513280

OptionVotes

YES

3271

1507

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Feb 3, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80%chance

31944

OptionVotes

YES

1292

886

Will I adopt a suggestion from this market's thread for a personal goals market on the topic of self care?

Jun 17, 9:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.39%chance

4117

OptionVotes

YES

1092

916

By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned?

Jun 4, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

11333

OptionVotes

YES

1017

986

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Nov 15, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

80.7%chance

543132

OptionVotes

YES

1489

810

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?

Apr 22, 4:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.22%chance

291421

OptionVotes

YES

1372

805

Will "Think carefully before calling RL policies "..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Jun 22, 3:19 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will the careful contingency handling in "When will the U.S. elect it's first female President?" be relevant?

Aug 5, 2:16 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

12.92%chance

10179

OptionVotes

YES

1008

978

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care by 2025?

Apr 22, 4:24 AMDec 22, 7:59 AM

5.02%chance

271076

OptionVotes

YES

1762

897

Will Ohio's gender-affirming care ban for minors be in effect by the end of the year?

Mar 28, 10:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50.23%chance

8116

OptionVotes

YES

286

227

If Trump gets elected, will prescribing HRT for transgender care be a US federal felony at the end of February 2025?

Dec 20, 3:39 AMMar 1, 7:59 AM

5.18%chance

5234

OptionVotes

YES

269

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Care News

Prediction markets for Care

Prediction markets for Care

Prediction markets for Care

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Will I adopt a suggestion from this market's thread for a personal goals market on the topic of self care?

By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned?

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?

Will "Think carefully before calling RL policies "..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will the careful contingency handling in "When will the U.S. elect it's first female President?" be relevant?

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care by 2025?

Will Ohio's gender-affirming care ban for minors be in effect by the end of the year?

If Trump gets elected, will prescribing HRT for transgender care be a US federal felony at the end of February 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Care

Prediction markets for Care

Prediction markets for Care

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Will I adopt a suggestion from this market's thread for a personal goals market on the topic of self care?

By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned?

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?