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Camille News
Prediction markets for Camille
Prediction markets for Camille
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jun 30, 4:00 PM
247
284562
Which of these famous people will reach lifetime two or more offspring by mid 2035?
Jan 4, 7:18 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
65
10514
Relationship of @AnnaCrow & @CamillePerrin
Nov 11, 3:55 AM
Jul 8, 3:55 AM
11
6753
Will there be a "Balenciaga Harry"-style meme featuring FTX ex-employees? (by March 2025)
Oct 2, 4:57 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
66.61%
chance
12
1637
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1007
961
[French snap legislative 2024] RN has absolute majority (including in electoral union with other parties)
Jun 9, 11:39 PM
Jul 5, 9:59 PM
19.85%
chance
36
13239
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2010
498
In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)
Jul 28, 1:21 PM
Jan 1, 2:08 PM
70.85%
chance
14
624
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1543
892
Retractation or expression of concern for any of the two DeepMind crystal papers (before 2025)
Dec 1, 10:02 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
25.83%
chance
12
179
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1030
981
French left union with single candidacy per seat (Snap legislative June 2024)
Jun 9, 11:13 PM
Jun 29, 9:59 PM
49.2%
chance
10
823
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1016
984
Will Russia make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
Sep 11, 6:18 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
22.81%
chance
14
212
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1103
952
Will the USA make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
Sep 11, 6:41 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
19.68%
chance
12
484
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1321
894
Will the French believe Intelligence Artificielle (IA) to be an existential risk, by 2030?
Sep 2, 6:37 AM
Jan 1, 7:28 AM
65.78%
chance
25
1202
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1161
843
Effective Altruist purge at Jane Street before Oct. 2025
Oct 2, 7:25 AM
Oct 1, 9:59 PM
4.61%
chance
23
1798
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1637
913
Articles
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San Francisco Writer David Talbot Suffers Near-Fatal Stroke on June 2
Authors
6
18 days
San Francisco
Politics
Netflix Announces 'Emily in Paris' Season 4 Premiere Date on August 15 and Videogame
Authors
9
23 days
Culture
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