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Prediction markets for Cal
Prediction markets for Cal
Will California AI regulation bill SB 1047 become law this session?
Feb 12, 4:05 PM
Sep 2, 3:59 AM
57.61%
chance
116
37270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
57910
40119
Will Biden be nominated via 'virtual roll call'?
Jun 15, 5:31 AM
Aug 20, 9:59 PM
39.88%
chance
8
14671
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13574
6547
Which of the following teams will be in the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) on September 1st, 2028
May 16, 11:35 PM
Sep 2, 3:59 AM
1
60
Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?
Dec 8, 4:01 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
10
188
2024-2025 ACC Men's Basketball Conference Win%
Apr 3, 4:20 AM
Mar 11, 4:59 AM
3
116
Which teams that have never made the NCAA men's March Madness Basketball bracket will be in it before the end of 2030?
Apr 1, 5:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
106
Which colleges will Proof School ‘25 attend?
Oct 24, 6:14 PM
Mar 2, 7:59 AM
21
4661
Which party will win the US Presidency in California?
Jan 3, 10:58 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
35
2722
Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?
Jan 21, 12:56 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
47.58%
chance
33
1032
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1047
914
Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?
Apr 26, 3:26 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
82%
chance
42
4658
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1326
858
Will Logan Paul call off his engagement with his fiancé Nina Agdal by end of 2024?
Aug 24, 6:23 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11.37%
chance
217
49119
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5429
670
Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?
May 18, 5:33 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 AM
84%
chance
177
18274
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2327
1393
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