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Top stories

England Cricketer Stuart Broad, 5th-Highest Test Wicket-Taker, Celebrates 38th Birthday Amid Praise for Legendary Career
Authors
4
10 days
Sports

Prediction markets for Broad

Is the "Game of Thrones" theory of what happened at OpenAI broadly accurate?

Nov 24, 12:08 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.43%chance

18857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

934

In 100 years, will Effective Altruism be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.65%chance

291271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

832

Will Argentina's economy be broadly considered to be in better shape November 19th 2024 than it was November 19th 2023?

Nov 20, 6:28 AMNov 20, 4:59 AM

73.11%chance

21680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

881

Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2025?

Apr 5, 7:14 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

16.89%chance

703517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1310

943

Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2050?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMJan 1, 6:01 AM

81.95%chance

16321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

944

Will the pre-clinical results on the cancer drug AOH1996 be broadly confirmed by independent team(s)?

Aug 3, 12:23 PMAug 3, 9:59 PM

25.67%chance

303447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

806

Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMJan 1, 6:01 AM

45.84%chance

622297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

923

In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.7%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

957

Will Amazon have a broadly available drone delivery service in the US by June 2025?

Jun 5, 4:06 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

13.59%chance

22485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

923

Tesla FSD unavailable broadly for at least 48 hours anytime through 2024

Sep 24, 4:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.98%chance

3145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

43

Will fascism be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?

Apr 7, 2:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.78%chance

768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

123

Will it take <=12 months for open-source AI forecasting to go from consistently worse than humans to broadly superhuman?

Jan 21, 2:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.14%chance

7141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

132

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Latest stories

England Cricketer Stuart Broad, 5th-Highest Test Wicket-Taker, Celebrates 38th Birthday Amid Praise for Legendary Career
Authors
4
10 days
Sports
Stuart Broad Warns of Lack of Experience in England Cricket Post James Anderson's Retirement, Impact on Ben Stokes and Bowling Lineup
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4
2 months
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Stuart Broad Nominated for Sports Personality of the Year Award, Urged to Vote by The Barmy Army Tonight
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4
7 months
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English Cricketer Stuart Broad Announces Retirement, Reflects on Career, Feels Happy
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8 months
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