Ben Smith News

Who will be the British Prime Minister after the next UK general election? (July 4th)

Apr 9, 8:44 PMJul 6, 6:59 AM

467672

Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?

Jan 29, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.07%chance

12227

OptionVotes

YES

1003

951

Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2100?

Feb 2, 6:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.05%chance

14284

OptionVotes

YES

1026

981

Will at least 1 in 6 of US adults (21+) binge alcohol in an average month in 2030?

Jan 28, 1:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.58%chance

1095

OptionVotes

YES

1028

981

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.46%chance

10170

OptionVotes

YES

1057

971

Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2100?

Feb 2, 5:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

56.43%chance

14398

OptionVotes

YES

1100

907

Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?

Feb 2, 5:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.93%chance

15529

OptionVotes

YES

1210

910

Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?

Feb 2, 5:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.32%chance

12216

OptionVotes

YES

1164

936

Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?

Feb 5, 6:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.91%chance

12285

OptionVotes

YES

1027

936

Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?

Oct 1, 2:28 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

24.04%chance

13440

OptionVotes

YES

998

955

Will a European/EU army be created before 2030?

Apr 14, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.4%chance

24827

OptionVotes

YES

1232

879

Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?

Feb 2, 5:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.26%chance

21692

OptionVotes

YES

1137

892

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Ben Smith News

Prediction markets for Ben Smith

Prediction markets for Ben Smith

Prediction markets for Ben Smith

Who will be the British Prime Minister after the next UK general election? (July 4th)

Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?

Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2100?

Will at least 1 in 6 of US adults (21+) binge alcohol in an average month in 2030?

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2100?

Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?

Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?

Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?

Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?

Will a European/EU army be created before 2030?

Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Ben Smith

Prediction markets for Ben Smith

Prediction markets for Ben Smith

Who will be the British Prime Minister after the next UK general election? (July 4th)

Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?

Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2100?

Will at least 1 in 6 of US adults (21+) binge alcohol in an average month in 2030?

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2100?

Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?