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Arthur News
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Lyndon Arthur Wins Split Decision Over Liam Cameron in Bolton, Scores 93-95, 95-93, 97-91
Authors
5
12 days
UFC
Sports
Prediction markets for Arthur
Prediction markets for Arthur
Will Brazilian House Speaker Arthur Lira be formally accused of corruption before Jan 31, 2025?
Jul 8, 12:30 PM
Feb 1, 2:59 AM
4.93%
chance
5
464
Option
Votes
YES
NO
443
52
Who will be the President of Brazil at some point in their life?
Mar 28, 12:38 PM
Sep 9, 2:29 PM
10
1899
Who will be elected the next Pope after Francis (Jorge Bergoglio)?
Oct 21, 3:28 PM
Oct 28, 9:59 PM
16
3083
In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?
Aug 6, 9:32 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
32.55%
chance
22
446
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1008
954
Will Joker 2 have a twist revealing Lady Gaga's character was just in Joker's head?
Apr 10, 4:49 AM
Oct 5, 3:59 AM
21.93%
chance
19
1518
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1406
836
Do Anthropic's training updates make SAE features as interpretable?
Apr 26, 9:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
49.59%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
121
119
Will an LLM have been used as part of the composition a work which wins the Nobel Prize in Literature by 2040?
Mar 23, 5:00 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
75.78%
chance
5
71
Option
Votes
NO
YES
219
114
If sustainable aviation fuels take off, which type of fuel will be most widely used?
Dec 14, 6:58 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
15
652
Will Anthropic's April SAE Training Updates stack with Gated SAEs?
Apr 26, 9:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.67%
chance
2
63
Option
Votes
NO
YES
152
96
Will Bruno Mars release a new album by the end of 2024?
Oct 19, 3:05 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
21.29%
chance
3
51
Option
Votes
YES
NO
141
65
Are Gated SAEs better than Anthropic's training updates?
Apr 26, 9:25 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.2%
chance
2
32
Option
Votes
NO
YES
151
96
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