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Arnold News
Prediction markets for Arnold
Prediction markets for Arnold
Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used to win a prize in a Kaggle competition before 2025?
May 3, 2:42 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
14.27%
chance
21
953
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1610
841
Will a Kolmogorov-Arnold Network based model achieve SOTA on some significant machine learning tasks in 2024?
May 1, 3:29 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.15%
chance
29
2070
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1376
887
Will a leading AI company productize KolmogorovβArnold Networks (KAN) by 2026?
May 6, 2:26 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
14.25%
chance
16
315
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1189
933
Will any model of the LMSYS chatbot arena top 30 at the end of 2025 use Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN)?
May 6, 10:01 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
8.1%
chance
10
232
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1237
930
Will Tyler Arnold (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:41 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
15.81%
chance
5
164
Option
Votes
YES
NO
266
107
Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?
May 3, 2:19 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
21.89%
chance
10
341
Option
Votes
YES
NO
189
53
Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used/studied in at least five orals at NeurIPS 2027?
May 2, 7:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9.46%
chance
10
293
Option
Votes
YES
NO
309
32
Who will be the 2024 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
Apr 30, 1:30 AM
Feb 14, 3:59 PM
5
133
The Sexual Marketplace: Which national political figures will have a new sex scandal (true or not) before 2025?
Dec 4, 2:29 AM
Jan 3, 7:59 AM
71
24025
After (the last) Stage 21 of the 2024 Tour de France, who will wear the Maillot Vert?
Jun 28, 12:31 AM
Jul 21, 2:59 PM
7
896
Manifold Ranks the 2024 NFL Draft Class
Mar 11, 7:39 PM
Feb 10, 4:59 AM
6
301
Who will be a UFC champion at some point?
Mar 27, 6:07 PM
Sep 9, 2:29 PM
10
1010
Articles
Latest stories
Jamie Arnold Strikes Out 12 in 7 Innings as #FSU Faces UCF in Baseball Game Pitching Duel
Authors
4
1 month
NCAA
Sports
Detroit Lions Rookie CB Terrion Arnold Jokes About Jamming Mom in Dirt Ahead of Mother's Day
Authors
20
2 months
NFL
Sports
Raiders Deny Coin Flip Allegations for Drafting TE Bowers as First-Round Pick
Authors
12
2 months
NFL
Sports
Raiders' NFL Draft Pick Between Bowers, Arnold Decided by Coin Flip
Authors
10
2 months
NFL
Sports
Lions Trade Up for CB Terrion Arnold, Inspired by 'Michael Jordan Moment'
Authors
12
2 months
NFL
Sports
Detroit Lions' New Addition, Terrion Arnold, Receives Warm Welcome in Detroit During NFL Draft
Authors
6
2 months
NCAA
Sports
Lions Trade Up, Draft CB Terrion Arnold No. 24, Bolster Defense
Authors
50
2 months
NFL
Sports
Purdue Transfer Deion Burks Scores 174 Yards, Two TDs in Oklahoma Game
Authors
6
2 months
NCAA
Sports
Alabama CB Terrion Arnold Impresses at NFL Combine, Welcomes Reunion with Former Teammates Jalen Milroe, Jameson Williams, Pat Surtain II
Authors
16
4 months
NFL
Sports
Alabama's Terrion Arnold Impresses with 4.51 40-Yard Dash Time at NFL Combine, Thanks Mom
Authors
4
4 months
NFL
Sports
NFL Combine Prospect Terrion Arnold Eyes Cardinals, Acknowledges Impact of Jameson Williams
Authors
6
4 months
NFL
Sports
Caltech's Arnold Team Creates Enzyme for Biodegradable Silicon Bonds
Authors
7
5 months
Bio
Science
Alabama's Jermaine Burton, JC Latham, Kool-Aid McKinstry, Terrion Arnold, and Chris Braswell Declare for 2024 NFL Draft
Authors
9
6 months
NCAA
Sports
Mike Gundy's Oklahoma State Hits 9 Wins, Kansas 9-4; Arizona's 10-Win Season, Arnold Debuts
Authors
34
6 months
NCAA
Sports
Oklahoma's Jackson Arnold Throws 63-Yard TD, Commits 4 Turnovers in Alamo Bowl Debut Against Arizona
Authors
7
6 months
NCAA
Sports
Jackson Arnold's Stellar Debut Sparks Heisman Talk as Oklahoma Leads Alamo Bowl
Authors
16
6 months
NCAA
Sports
Oklahoma Overcomes Arnold's Early Interceptions to Lead Alamo Bowl; Cowing Sets Record
Authors
17
6 months
NCAA
Sports
Venables Praises Arizona at 11 a.m. Alamo Bowl Presser; Arnold, Littrell Begin New Oklahoma Chapter
Authors
12
6 months
NCAA
Sports
Kansas Leads UNLV 28-10 at Halftime Despite High Penalty Yards
Authors
7
6 months
Las Vegas
Politics
Kansas QB Bean Stars with 3 TDs, Jayhawks Lead UNLV 21-7 After Interception
Authors
4
6 months
Las Vegas
Politics
Seth Littrell Replaces Gabriel as Oklahoma Co-OC, Reflects on Year Off Before Bowl Game
Authors
6
6 months
NCAA
Sports
Family-Owned Restaurants in San Francisco, Castro Valley, and Fremont to Close After Decades of Service
Authors
4
7 months
Politics
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Authors
5
7 months
NCAA
Sports
US Billionaire Leon Cooperman Buys 1M Manchester United Shares Before INEOS Deal; Richard Arnold Departs; Arctos Invests in Aston Martin F1 at Β£1bn Valuation
Authors
11
8 months
Soccer
Sports
Jim Ratcliffe's Ineos Nears 25% Stake in Manchester United as CEO Richard Arnold Departs, Patrick Stewart as Interim CEO
Authors
13
8 months
Sports
Manchester United's Chief Executive Richard Arnold to Depart, Patrick Stewart to Take Over as Interim CEO as INEOS Group Finalizes 25% Stake Purchase, Jean-Claude Blanc Considered for Permanent Role, Signaling Era of Ability Over Familiarity
Authors
8
8 months
Soccer
Sports
Super Mario Bros. Wonder and Sonic Superstars Set to Release Modernized 2D Platformers
Authors
10
9 months
Tech
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