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Prediction markets for Armando
Prediction markets for Armando
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
293198
Will the common pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 24, 8:03 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
44.73%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
131
Which of the following papacy-related events will occur first?
Jan 2, 9:44 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
3
90
What will the first Catholic pope after Francis call himself?
Oct 2, 7:42 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
23
2980
Is the Koide formula correct?
Dec 4, 5:24 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
42.57%
chance
7
251
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
110
Will Jimmy Carter run for president in 2024?
Oct 14, 5:34 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
1%
chance
11
2441
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1837
947
Will 4000 be a leap year?
Dec 4, 9:54 AM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
33.69%
chance
3
69
Option
Votes
YES
NO
107
77
When will Mick Jagger and Keith Richards die?
Mar 24, 7:07 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
1
125
Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?
Dec 4, 10:02 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6
85
How old will the first Catholic pope after Francis be at election?
Oct 2, 8:30 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6
124
When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
Dec 13, 2:10 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
9
323
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Will Smith and Martin Lawrence Talk Changes in 'Bad Boys: Ride or Die' with Armando's Role
Authors
6
2 months
Culture
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