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Prediction markets for Arch

What NFL team will Arch Manning play for?

May 21, 3:03 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

5414

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

31.37%chance

5510299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11492

10773

What type of water crossing will replace the FSK Bridge in Baltimore?

Mar 27, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11443

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

Oct 27, 3:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.77%chance

493219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2015

1196

Major archaeological discovery rivaling Göbekli Tepe by 2043?

Apr 21, 8:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.01%chance

201273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1718

925

Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?

Mar 19, 12:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80.21%chance

351077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2222

1710

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

Aug 12, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

282488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

669

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

Dec 25, 1:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.96%chance

533275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

852

Will South Korea win every gold medal in the archery events at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?

Mar 14, 6:47 PMAug 2, 1:30 PM

35.08%chance

11225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

917

Will Prison Architect 2 have a Metacritic score of 85 or higher as of September 5th?

Apr 1, 5:39 PMSep 6, 3:59 AM

30.46%chance

10156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

953

Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?

Dec 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

63.45%chance

12241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

988

By 2030, will an architectural firm design and construct a building based entirely on specifications generated by AI?

May 19, 3:37 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

62.04%chance

19362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

954

Articles

Latest stories

Eli Manning advises nephew Arch Manning not to transfer from Texas amidst Quinn Ewers situation
Authors
8
5 months
NCAA
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Texas fans excited for Arch Manning's potential playing time against BYU after QB Quinn Ewers' injury
Authors
13
8 months
NCAA
Sports
Texas fans hopeful to see Arch Manning play against BYU after Quinn Ewers injury, as head coach opens the door for snaps with Maalik Murphy as starting quarterback
Authors
9
8 months
NCAA
Sports

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