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Tal Alexander Steps Down from Official Amid Group Rape Allegations Involving Brothers
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Lawsuit by Angelica Parker Accuses Tal, Alon, and Oren Alexander of Sexual Assault
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Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky, writing alone?

Sep 27, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

379799

OptionVotes

YES

1022

911

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Jan 9, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28%chance

19558

OptionVotes

YES

1073

697

Will the first person to walk on Mars be alone at the time of landing?

Apr 7, 5:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.87%chance

12394

OptionVotes

YES

1349

912

When will Valve announce a stand-alone VR headset?

Jan 16, 8:45 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

392022

OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026

Nov 17, 8:42 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

17.1%chance

5161

OptionVotes

YES

172

106

Will polling show that a majority of American adults believe Oswald "acted alone" before 2030?

Jul 3, 11:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13161

Will someone use brainwaves alone to play Age of Empires II (on PC or XBox) well enough to beat Moderate AI by EOY 2028?

Feb 3, 9:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19%chance

5128

OptionVotes

YES

232

Will a study show that the combination of parabiosis + genetic reprogramming will improve lifespan more than either intervention alone by 2035?

Apr 20, 10:13 PMApr 28, 6:59 AM

43%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

135

108

Someone walks around the moon alone before 2100

Oct 19, 5:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.24%chance

8251

OptionVotes

YES

131

123

Will more than 5% of p(doom) come alone from autistic people collectively not known to de-escalate when they could have?

Sep 21, 8:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.59%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

110

Did Lee Harvey Oswald act alone in the assassination of John F Kennedy?

Oct 26, 2:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.5%chance

14373

OptionVotes

YES

304

Will China alone install over 8713 GW in 2030?

Jan 27, 7:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.6%chance

91278

OptionVotes

YES

460

159

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Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky, writing alone?

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Will the first person to walk on Mars be alone at the time of landing?

When will Valve announce a stand-alone VR headset?

OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026

Will polling show that a majority of American adults believe Oswald "acted alone" before 2030?

Will someone use brainwaves alone to play Age of Empires II (on PC or XBox) well enough to beat Moderate AI by EOY 2028?

Will a study show that the combination of parabiosis + genetic reprogramming will improve lifespan more than either intervention alone by 2035?

Someone walks around the moon alone before 2100

Will more than 5% of p(doom) come alone from autistic people collectively not known to de-escalate when they could have?

Did Lee Harvey Oswald act alone in the assassination of John F Kennedy?

Will China alone install over 8713 GW in 2030?

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Prediction markets for Alon

Prediction markets for Alon

Prediction markets for Alon

Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky, writing alone?

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Will the first person to walk on Mars be alone at the time of landing?

When will Valve announce a stand-alone VR headset?

OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026

Will polling show that a majority of American adults believe Oswald "acted alone" before 2030?

Will someone use brainwaves alone to play Age of Empires II (on PC or XBox) well enough to beat Moderate AI by EOY 2028?

Will a study show that the combination of parabiosis + genetic reprogramming will improve lifespan more than either intervention alone by 2035?