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Prediction markets for All
Prediction markets for All
When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?
Sep 20, 2:31 AM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
38.03%
chance
37
3734
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1028
869
Will President Biden release by Dec. 31, 2024, all of the remaining non-public documents related to JFK's assassination?
Jun 11, 8:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24.28%
chance
17
3210
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13145
8666
Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?
Apr 7, 2:22 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
14.96%
chance
28
3168
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1337
903
UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Tournament Matches
Feb 19, 2:54 PM
Jul 15, 3:59 AM
600
1484277
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AM
Jan 7, 4:59 AM
49.96%
chance
116
103549
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1057
930
What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:50 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
61.15%
chance
7
1961
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4076
2783
Is attention all you need? (transformers SOTA in 2027)
Nov 16, 7:02 PM
Jan 31, 11:30 PM
61.48%
chance
121
21854
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4036
3230
Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town
Jun 17, 4:16 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
7
9075
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (39 DONE)
Jan 28, 7:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68
16274
Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?
Jun 2, 9:12 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25%
chance
66
13968
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2267
1026
Greatest Mathematician of all time
Aug 11, 11:37 PM
Jan 1, 1:00 AM
138
15360
Will there be at least 3 players on the leaderboard all named "Rationalussy" on diep.io by EOY 2026?
Jun 19, 2:18 AM
Dec 31, 4:59 PM
41.9%
chance
2
65
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1703
1587
Articles
Latest stories
Bengals Draft High-Ceiling Iowa TE Erick All at No. 115, Eye Potential Redshirt Year
Authors
15
2 months
NFL
Sports
Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy Nears Recovery, Eyes Potential Matchup with Injured Iowa Players, Excited for Reunion
Authors
4
7 months
NCAA
Sports
Iowa's Leading Receiver Erick All Suffers Injury, Teammates Praise His Resilience
Authors
4
9 months
NCAA
Sports
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