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Acemoglu News
Prediction markets for Acemoglu
Prediction markets for Acemoglu
Will Daron Acemoglu win a Nobel Prize by 2028?
May 25, 2:56 AM
Dec 1, 11:59 PM
33.58%
chance
17
927
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
958
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Oct 10, 5:21 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
10
523
Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?
Jan 20, 6:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
17.01%
chance
14
664
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1244
893
Will we see improvements in the TruthfulQA LLM benchmark in 2024?
Mar 30, 4:39 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
74.08%
chance
3
71
Option
Votes
NO
YES
211
98
Articles
Latest stories
MIT Economist Acemoglu's Study Contradicts AI Productivity Gains Forecasts
Authors
7
1 month
AI
Tech
MIT Economist Acemoglu Forecasts 1% GDP Boost from 5% Tasks Automated by AI
Authors
9
1 month
Economics
AI
Business
Economists Evaluate Dr. Daron Acemoglu's 0.66% Increase in Total Factor Productivity due to AI
Authors
5
1 month
AI
Tech
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