Workers News

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

32.39%chance

11248665

OptionVotes

YES

1445

692

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.85%chance

286395

OptionVotes

YES

7403

3293

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Nov 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.2%chance

15086287

OptionVotes

YES

7353

1128

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Jun 2, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

6613968

OptionVotes

YES

2267

1026

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Dec 22, 2:45 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

14.54%chance

39239933

OptionVotes

YES

4895

3020

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.62%chance

1287952

OptionVotes

YES

1879

1457

Will the Workers Party of Britain win any seats at the next UK General Election?

Mar 5, 3:53 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

23.58%chance

291584

OptionVotes

YES

1137

929

Will the California Supreme Court nullify Prop 22, which classifies Lyft and Uber drivers as gig workers?

May 23, 1:56 AMAug 20, 6:59 AM

38.99%chance

7283

OptionVotes

YES

1251

799

Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?

Oct 10, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.62%chance

191432

OptionVotes

YES

1004

986

Will US-based white-collar workers across multiple sectors start unionizing by the end of 2024?

May 31, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.25%chance

361791

OptionVotes

YES

1166

921

Rudy Giuliani to pay ANY amount to Georgia election workers by 2025?

Dec 17, 10:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

77%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

1097

951

Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?

Feb 8, 8:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.76%chance

11251

OptionVotes

YES

1054

960

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Workers News

Prediction markets for Workers

Prediction markets for Workers

Prediction markets for Workers

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will the Workers Party of Britain win any seats at the next UK General Election?

Will the California Supreme Court nullify Prop 22, which classifies Lyft and Uber drivers as gig workers?

Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?

Will US-based white-collar workers across multiple sectors start unionizing by the end of 2024?

Rudy Giuliani to pay ANY amount to Georgia election workers by 2025?

Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Workers

Prediction markets for Workers

Prediction markets for Workers

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will the Workers Party of Britain win any seats at the next UK General Election?