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Prediction markets for WMO
Prediction markets for WMO
Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?
Aug 22, 12:50 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
36.18%
chance
6
70
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1151
1114
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:56 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
40.16%
chance
12
288
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1009
991
Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:48 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
85.67%
chance
11
414
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1233
919
Will 2023-2027 be hotter than 2018-2022?
Jul 11, 4:01 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
90.38%
chance
25
1576
Option
Votes
NO
YES
997
973
Will the global near-surface temperature exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average for at least one year in 2023-2027?
Jul 11, 3:54 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
73.96%
chance
9
155
Option
Votes
NO
YES
255
157
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11
3 months
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16
3 months
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19
3 months
Climate
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11
4 months
Climate
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10
4 months
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6
4 months
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5
8 months
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WMO Reports Earth's Temperature Nears 1.5°C Threshold, Greenhouse Gas Levels at Record High
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11
8 months
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Human-caused Climate Change Intensifying Thunderstorm Winds, Warns Study; Warming Could Reach 2.2C by 2050
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13
8 months
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Water Scarcity Looms as Global Water Cycles Disrupted; UN Agency Calls for Better Monitoring and Policy Shift
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6
9 months
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5
9 months
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