Weaponization News

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated while Biden is President?

Oct 16, 3:14 PMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

18.07%chance

14933360

OptionVotes

YES

3953

811

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Jan 8, 9:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.32%chance

6439

OptionVotes

YES

549

103

Will the US & China agree in 2024 to keep a human in the loop for decisions to use nuclear weapons?

Dec 2, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.25%chance

513853

OptionVotes

YES

2899

1361

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?

Mar 1, 6:51 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.89%chance

321931

OptionVotes

YES

1717

1351

In 2024, will the IAEA publicly report that Iran has enriched uranium to weapons-grade levels?

Dec 2, 4:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.57%chance

546306

OptionVotes

YES

2919

954

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

Aug 12, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

282488

OptionVotes

YES

1209

669

Assault weapons ban before 2025

Nov 19, 6:48 AMJan 1, 6:02 AM

24.16%chance

585569

OptionVotes

YES

2304

1301

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?

Dec 12, 3:27 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

13.69%chance

6015280

OptionVotes

YES

979

953

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

37.21%chance

447432

OptionVotes

YES

1060

930

Will North Korea test a nuclear weapon during 2024?

Dec 13, 5:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.93%chance

467208

OptionVotes

YES

1639

745

Destiny v Dan on Ray Guns: Will a directed Energy weapon be discovered within the next year?

Apr 4, 4:24 PMApr 4, 1:29 PM

14.93%chance

302105

OptionVotes

YES

2075

1231

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

1030

981

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Prediction markets for Weaponization

Prediction markets for Weaponization

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated while Biden is President?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Will the US & China agree in 2024 to keep a human in the loop for decisions to use nuclear weapons?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?

In 2024, will the IAEA publicly report that Iran has enriched uranium to weapons-grade levels?

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

Assault weapons ban before 2025

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will North Korea test a nuclear weapon during 2024?

Destiny v Dan on Ray Guns: Will a directed Energy weapon be discovered within the next year?

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Weaponization

Prediction markets for Weaponization

Prediction markets for Weaponization

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated while Biden is President?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Will the US & China agree in 2024 to keep a human in the loop for decisions to use nuclear weapons?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?

In 2024, will the IAEA publicly report that Iran has enriched uranium to weapons-grade levels?

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

Assault weapons ban before 2025

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will North Korea test a nuclear weapon during 2024?

Destiny v Dan on Ray Guns: Will a directed Energy weapon be discovered within the next year?

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Latest stories