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Prediction markets for Wall Street Bets
Prediction markets for Wall Street Bets
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
147
35230
Will Elon Musk retain the position of CEO (or ‘Technoking’) of Tesla AND SpaceX until January 1, 2025?
Sep 20, 1:20 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
85.08%
chance
25
2254
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1597
811
Will there be a financial markets' panic due to expectations of a 2nd Trump administration by inauguration day?
Dec 5, 1:23 PM
Jan 21, 2:59 AM
10.86%
chance
20
842
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1470
873
By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?
Jun 16, 8:47 PM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
11.4%
chance
18
1414
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1241
941
Will Adobe's senior management team say that generative AI is a headwind to Adobe by Sep 2024?
May 24, 4:43 PM
Oct 1, 2:59 AM
10.45%
chance
16
2103
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2607
384
Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?
Dec 5, 3:35 PM
Nov 13, 4:59 AM
8
120
Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?
Oct 9, 12:53 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
4
90
Will any country besides Brazil provide subsidized elective plastic surgery before 2033?
Oct 6, 12:14 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
54.46%
chance
6
70
Option
Votes
NO
YES
192
148
Generative AI killer app by March 2025?
Aug 24, 2:29 PM
Mar 31, 2:59 AM
15
1010
Will Salesforce announce plans to acquire Informatica in 2024?
Apr 15, 5:49 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
57.42%
chance
3
21
Option
Votes
NO
YES
179
144
After the election, will leading newspapers report claims that misinformation generated by AI changed the election?
Jan 5, 11:14 PM
Jan 22, 7:59 AM
71%
chance
3
144
Option
Votes
NO
YES
127
68
[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?
Mar 24, 7:35 PM
Aug 1, 5:00 PM
89.11%
chance
8
461
Option
Votes
NO
YES
461
146
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5
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4
4 months
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