VAST Data News

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.38%chance

6823983

OptionVotes

YES

26232

3281

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024

Feb 22, 8:27 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.27%chance

19740224

OptionVotes

YES

6786

484

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.52%chance

216782

OptionVotes

YES

3277

305

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Apr 14, 7:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

28.02%chance

16364

OptionVotes

YES

1014

976

Is Midjourney in Trouble?

Jan 8, 9:40 AMJan 5, 10:59 PM

50.84%chance

381497

OptionVotes

YES

1014

977

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?

Jun 1, 6:49 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

52%chance

8137

OptionVotes

YES

152

140

Will language models, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2025

Jun 20, 2:53 PMDec 20, 3:00 AM

70.41%chance

7171

OptionVotes

YES

360

219

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

43.99%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

64%chance

437

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2026?

Jun 1, 6:48 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

52%chance

477

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2025?

Jun 1, 6:47 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

63%chance

6109

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.78%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

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VAST Data News

Prediction markets for VAST Data

Prediction markets for VAST Data

Prediction markets for VAST Data

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Is Midjourney in Trouble?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?

Will language models, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2025

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2026?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2025?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for VAST Data

Prediction markets for VAST Data

Prediction markets for VAST Data

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Is Midjourney in Trouble?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?

Will language models, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2025