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Prediction markets for US Christian
Prediction markets for US Christian
Will Paul Christiano shake the US president's hand by 2027
Nov 2, 9:26 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
36.17%
chance
26
2165
Option
Votes
YES
NO
999
978
Will Paul Christiano remain US Head of AI Safety for a year?
Apr 22, 1:28 AM
Apr 18, 6:59 AM
14
1051
Will "Paul Christiano named as US AI Safety Institu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Apr 30, 8:45 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
5.33%
chance
1
150
Option
Votes
YES
NO
249
86
Will the Church of England take an affirming stance on gay marriage by 2030?
Apr 4, 12:03 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
56.97%
chance
11
102
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1015
986
Will the pope announce the second coming of Jesus Christ within the next 30 days ?
Jun 18, 3:14 PM
Jul 18, 9:59 PM
1%
chance
39
10372
Option
Votes
YES
NO
9950
101
Will we see a free medical research zone in the US established in the next 20 years
Mar 2, 5:07 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
53.71%
chance
3
145
Option
Votes
NO
YES
103
65
Will "Christ Conquers Our Trials & Tribulations: Globalists Fail In Their War Against God"?
Aug 10, 12:30 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
10.54%
chance
7
400
Option
Votes
YES
NO
294
128
What Religion will the next President of the US be?
Dec 21, 1:32 AM
Nov 8, 5:59 PM
19
626
Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 6:54 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
15.39%
chance
8
265
Option
Votes
YES
NO
476
225
Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)
Oct 16, 1:57 AM
0
0
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GOP Rep. Jim Jordan Demands Big Tech CEOs-FBI Docs; Probes $37M DOE Fine
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3 months
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