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US 500 News
Prediction markets for US 500
Prediction markets for US 500
Which industries of the US stock market will outperform the SPDR S&P 500 Trust in 2024?
Jan 2, 3:29 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
16
1688
Which sector of the US stock market (S&P 500) will perform the best in 2024?
Jan 2, 1:41 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24
4367
Will the 30 year US Treasury Bond return more than the S&P 500 in 2024 in percentage terms?
Nov 9, 3:55 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
85
Will the November 2024 top 500 Supercomputer list put us above 10 Exaflops of total computing power?
Sep 24, 11:09 PM
Nov 1, 6:59 AM
44.16%
chance
3
16
Option
Votes
YES
NO
114
106
Will the US population be >500M by 2050?
Oct 30, 2:24 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13.65%
chance
15
655
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1193
932
Will there be more 5000 cases of Measles in US before 2024 US Elections?
Nov 27, 7:03 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
3.72%
chance
14
1514
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1848
870
Will the GDP per capita of Ghana be over $5000 by the end of 2026 (current $US)
Jul 2, 7:21 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30.78%
chance
7
125
Option
Votes
YES
NO
185
129
Will a US Department of Energy high performance computing cluster be used to train a foundation model of more than 500B or more by January 1st 2025?
Sep 24, 12:52 AM
Feb 16, 4:59 AM
37.17%
chance
3
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
130
77
Reparations by 2030?
Feb 10, 10:03 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
9.31%
chance
27
531
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1317
941
Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?
Aug 10, 1:31 AM
Sep 1, 3:59 AM
11.95%
chance
77
15723
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3369
2004
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?
Dec 21, 8:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
21.24%
chance
69
6475
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1684
1350
Will air quality in Beijing be good in 2024?
Sep 19, 6:07 PM
Jan 16, 7:59 AM
29.59%
chance
12
494
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1060
959
Articles
Latest stories
S&P 500 Gains More Than 2% in January, FTSE 100, Wall Street, France 40, Germany 40, Up 1.59%
Authors
7
5 months
Economics
Business
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