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Prediction markets for Union Yes

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.03%chance

144070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5697

3703

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Dec 22, 2:45 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

14.54%chance

39239933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4895

3020

Will Nevada stay blue in 2024

Sep 5, 3:41 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

48.61%chance

233966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

909

Will any US state secede before 2050?

Feb 20, 6:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.12%chance

22899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4324

3929

[French snap legislative 2024] RN has absolute majority (including in electoral union with other parties)

Jun 9, 11:39 PMJul 5, 9:59 PM

15.2%chance

4317102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2362

423

Will France have a bigger population than Germany in 2050?

Jun 22, 12:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55.65%chance

11173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

965

Will IAM 751 members (Boeing Union in Washington) approve an initial strike sanction?

Jun 24, 1:48 AMJul 17, 5:00 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will IAM 751 members (Boeing Union in Washington) approve an initial strike sanction?

Jun 24, 1:51 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will India institutionalise same-sex marriage or civil unions before 2026?

Oct 17, 1:05 PMJan 31, 3:59 PM

25.84%chance

16413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

959

Will the EU force Ukraine to make concessions?

Oct 5, 10:13 PMMar 2, 2:59 AM

36.04%chance

12286

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

947

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.18%chance

14135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

967

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

25.47%chance

12169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

954

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