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Prediction markets for Unconventional
Prediction markets for Unconventional
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
49
8156
More than 10% of children born in the US are unconventionally conceived by mid 2030
Dec 30, 9:10 PM
Jun 2, 5:59 AM
12.94%
chance
69
4462
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2757
893
More than 30% of children born in the US are unconventionally conceived by mid 2030
Dec 30, 9:13 PM
Jun 1, 6:00 PM
8.68%
chance
18
1131
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1196
952
Someone uses unconventional methods to have at least 300 kids, through 2026
Aug 31, 1:01 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7.08%
chance
7
382
Option
Votes
YES
NO
373
103
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED]
Oct 10, 10:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
46
8703
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2030?
Feb 4, 8:20 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
5
322
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2025?
Feb 4, 8:17 AM
Jan 1, 1:55 PM
9
588
Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?
Apr 22, 4:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.83%
chance
14
769
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1053
941
Levina's Coefficient (PERMANENT)
Apr 20, 5:56 AM
Nov 20, 10:59 PM
51.34%
chance
7
246
Option
Votes
NO
YES
352
347
Who will win the CoolFold 30 Challenge? (see info)
Dec 9, 4:15 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
517
What is your preferred circle constant?
Mar 14, 8:00 PM
60
0
What display mode do you prefer for Manifold?
Jun 2, 6:37 PM
5
0
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