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Prediction markets for Ukrainian military

Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?

Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

39.1%chance

321025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

674

Will a mutiny occur in 2024 within the Russian or Ukrainian military?

Jun 13, 8:06 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

14.99%chance

6160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will Russia strike NATO member countries hosting transit bases for Ukrainian military equipment by EOY 2025?

Apr 4, 8:25 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

5.64%chance

7566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

760

136

Will one or more Ukrainian private military companies participate in battalion-sized (500+ soldier) combat operations?

Feb 21, 8:48 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

35%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

116

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

66.32%chance

602786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

819

Will any country admit to sending troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?

Apr 7, 9:55 AMJan 3, 5:59 AM

78.52%chance

403485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1917

310

Will any other country provide air defence coverage for Ukraine, before June 2025?

May 29, 10:47 PMJun 1, 8:59 PM

31.55%chance

7566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

679

[ACX 2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 2, 6:00 PM

6.16%chance

11232451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3686

933

Will Australia provide F/A-18 Hornets to Ukraine in 2023 or 2024?

Jul 16, 11:37 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

16.21%chance

251952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1355

873

Will Climate Manipulating Weapons be Used in the Russian / Ukraine Conflict?

May 7, 5:35 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

16.3%chance

15704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

933

Will another country join the Russian-Ukraine war before it ends?

Dec 18, 10:52 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.5%chance

471840

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1889

766

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?

Oct 30, 9:24 PMJan 6, 10:59 PM

29.01%chance

473823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

539

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